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China’s Massive Healthcare Initiative Provides Vast Opportunities for Investors

Posted by Matt Hayden at 10:17 PM on Sunday, June 28th, 2009

Like the U.S., China’s healthcare costs have soared in recent years. Outpatient costs were 12 times higher in 2007 than in 1990 though incomes increased by only 5-7 times during the same period. Spending on healthcare amounted to about $185 billion or 5.67% of China’s GDP in 2007, yet healthcare investments have clearly not kept pace with China’s miraculous economic growth.

To address the imbalances, including wide problems in healthcare availability and quality between urban and rural areas, the Chinese government has initiated a $124 billion spending stimulus for 2009-2011. Some $52.2 billion will be allocated from the central government budget and is targeted principally at rural investments. This direct investment – rather than a more customary cost share with provincial governments – underscores the importance Beijing places on improving living standards and ensuring social stability in the countryside. The balance of $74.6 billion is aimed primarily at reducing urban hospital crowding and improving primary care, and will be provided by provincial and municipal sources.

The stimulus plan seeks to address five policy objectives:

1. Establish universal healthcare insurance. Target is to provide health insurance to 90 percent of the population by 2011, and to close the gap completely by 2020.

2. Build a basic medicine system. A new national Essential Drug List will be developed with widespread distribution, uniform prices and high reimbursement coverage.

3. Provide new medical institutions. Government investment will be directed toward the development of community health centers and local hospitals to ease the overcrowding in leading urban hospitals.

4. Bring equality in urban and rural areas. A clear focus on improving China’s underfunded public health system in rural areas, including epidemic management and disease prevention.

5. Reform Public hospitals. With public hospitals currently the dominant channel for healthcare services, pilot reforms will include changes to hospital administration and operation. After years of consideration, reforms also will include the separation of pharmacies from hospitals, and thus solve the over-prescription of drugs by money-losing hospital entities

Importantly, China’s healthcare consumers will be the chief beneficiaries of the reform program, but it is also clear that the reforms will pose opportunities for a wide range of healthcare products and service providers. Several industries and companies are poised to benefit directly from key reform measures.

The bulk of the reform program focuses on improving rural medical access and building out the public health infrastructure, so those firms that provide the infrastructure products and services for this expansion are in line to receive immediate and direct benefit from the reform program. These entities include:

ü      Traditional Chinese medicine (TCM) producers

ü      Pharmaceutical distributors

ü      Basic medical equipment and device companies

ü      Generic chemical medicine manufacturers

ü      Vaccine manufacturers

ü      Diagnostic regent makers

Companies that will benefit from China’s massive investment in healthcare:

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China’s Efforts to be the Largest Renewable Energy Market in the World Provides Vast Opportunities for Investors

Posted by Matt Hayden at 12:25 PM on Thursday, April 30th, 2009

China’s unprecedented economic growth over the past 30 years has come at a huge cost to the environment and this is no surprise for most of you who live in urbanized areas.  In fact , 20 of the 30 most polluted cities in the world are in China. 400,000 people die of pollution related diseases each year. One third of Chinese territory is affected by acid rain and approximately 70% of its water supply is polluted.

The damage has not only been to the air the Chinese breath or the water in their rivers, but also to its reputation across the world. But there are signs that China is serious about tackling pollution to prove to the world that it can develop while causing less damage to the environment, plus giving a better quality of life to its citizens. $184 billion is being devoted to China’s renewable energy markets - set to become the largest in the world. And yet if that wasn’t enough, the chief economist from Deutche Bank predicts that China will invest an astounding $754 billion over the next 36 months to reduce the magnitude of this growing, enormous problem.

POTENTIAL LARGE SECULAR GROWTH OPPORTUNITY

If that plays out correct, it will create one of the largest secular growth opportunities the country has seen aside from massive infrastructure and real estate development which have moved the country to Third in the World according to GDP. China is currently the world’s biggest consumer of coal, the cheapest yet most polluting source of energy. The country uses a quarter of the world’s coal reserves and depends on it to provide more than two thirds of its energy needs, while 2 new coal-fired power plants come on line each week.

The rapid growth has also altered old Chinese habits that used to be environmentally friendly. As soon as you walk out from your hotel onto the street of Beijing you realize that the typical image of Chinese city streets being packed with bicycle-riding commuters is becoming a thing of the past. During the first quarter, China surpassed the US with the number of vehicles sold and for the first time surpassed 1 million vehicles in March.

Pollution problems in China are estimated to cost the country more than $200 billion annually, and it should be no surprise that pollution is widely considered to be the #1 challenge to China’s sustained economic growth. World governments are fast adopting carbon standards which will penalize businesses for producing greenhouse gases. China’s Eleventh Five Year Plan calls for more than $190 billion in investment by industrial companies for cleanup. As a result of this focus, China’s environmental protection industry is growing at an annual rate of at least 23%, substantially faster than China’s normalized GDP growth (forecast for 2009 at 7%).

COMPANIES THAT MAY BENEFIT FROM CHINA’S MASSIVE INVESTMENT IN GREEN ENERGY

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Dividend Announced By Tianyin Pharmaceutical Is What Fund Managers Are Looking For

Posted by Matt Hayden at 10:08 AM on Tuesday, March 31st, 2009

During the past few months, our team has had multiple conversations with fund managers who like our Chinese clients and other companies in the space, believe in the growth prospects and opportunities but just can’t seem to bring themselves to initiate new positions, although many have owned these names during the past four years. The reasons get right to the core of investing and the mindset of investors today, while providing some of the underlying reasons why many of the stocks prices have significantly lagged their economic performance. Following, is a summary:

From a fund manager based in Connecticut - During the past decade, stocks were valued as if earnings were a proxy of actual or future dividends and as long as earnings grew the stock price would follow. While those days are not over, investors now, more than ever, want to participate in the cash flow generated in the business through the form of cash dividends as a means for generating positive returns on equity, especially in places like China and other international destinations where claims to the assets are much less certain than the US. These investors want to know the CEO/Chairman views them as a partner and will put their interests first and who is building and increasing the intrinsic value of the business on a per share basis instead of growing it just for the sake of growing, like many Chinese companies have done since coming public in the US.

Examples cited include a company who would pay out 30% of its cash flow to investors thus sharing the rewards with those who provided the capital to execute their business plan, while still reinvesting to growth the business. This would mean current income through dividends and capital appreciation through earnings and cash flow growth, a combination which has created some of the largest companies in America sporting some of the largest shareholder bases.

From a fund manager based in Dallas – who has built a great asset management business stated about a dividend, “We would immediately invest significant capital with such a company, knowing that as the company grew, our income would grow. In addition, we believe companies that were to adopt such shareholder friendly policies would eventually be rewarded with a “trust premium” and would see their stocks rapidly increase in value as more investors realized the “best of both worlds” attractiveness of a growing investment with a growing dividend payout

To this point, our client Tianyin Pharmaceutical (NYSE Amex:TPI) just announced it will be paying a $.10 annual cash dividend with distributions quarterly. This is subject to preferred shareholder approval. The stock price is currently at $1.40/share, up 30% from the announcement and sport a 6.8% yield. The company has adequate cash flow to both cover the dividend and still invest for future growth. We think this is a milestone announcement and will hope that other clients and companies follow suit. This move will open up a whole new realm of investors who previously would not invest.

After our team has met with over 100 Chinese companies during the past five years I can totally understand their point. We are at the crossroads for many of these companies who are listed on our markets and this market shakeout will separate the good from the bad. You either graduate to become a TIER 1 company with best public company practices, good corporate governance, trusted auditors and legal counsel, or you will risk withering away while never creating real value for their shareholders.

PRESS RELEASE SUMMARY FOR TPI BELOW

CHENGDU, China, March26, 2009/PRNewswire-Asia-FirstCall/ — Tianyin Pharmaceutical, Co., Inc., (NYSE Amex: TPI), a manufacturer and supplier of modernized traditional Chinese medicine (”TCM”) based in Chengdu, China, today announced that the Board of Directors declared an annual cash dividend of $0.10 per common share that will be paid quarterly. Subject to approval by a majority of the Company’s Series A Preferred Shareholders, the initial dividend of $.025 will be paid to common shareholders of record on April 30, 2009, with the actual distribution occurring on or about June 10, 2009. Dr. Jiang Guoqing, Tianyin’s Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, commented, “Our dividend payment is in line with our desire to balance the cash required to operate and grow our business with that of providing and enhancing returns to our shareholders. We have carefully reviewed our current financial position, which includes cash and equivalents of approximately $12.7 million on December 31, 2008, in addition to our projected cash flow from operations, and are confident that Tianyin has sufficient resources to cover our operational and capital expenditures for the foreseeable future. We are committed to act in the best interest of our shareholders and will continue to make significant progress in growing our business.”

View The Full Press Release

Regards,
Matt